Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $934·Volume $6,374·Ends Mar 17, 2027
Price now:Yes57%No43%
Smart money leans
Yes
57% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
57%price57%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$405 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered44¢57¢at 17:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 126d(Mar 17, 2027)Liquidity$934
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $405 riding on it.
The price of 57% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 57¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $405 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $412 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $346 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $305 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $498 |