Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?
ActiveLiquidity $6,706·Volume $4,510·Ends Jan 17, 2027
Price now:Yes84%No16%
Smart money leans
Yes
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$551 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered77¢84¢at 11:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 67d(Jan 17, 2027)Liquidity$6,706
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $551 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $551 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $272 |
| 4d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $833 |