Will Chris Pappas underperform Kamala in New Hampshire?
ActiveLiquidity $2,081·Volume $2,151·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$305 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered78¢99¢at 06:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$2,081
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $305 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $305 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | urhfrhchj123123Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | 0xb8ee…9e81Mid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | Jellow2Top | Buy | No | 75¢ | $262 |