Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
ActiveLiquidity $549·Volume $2,631·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes13%No88%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
61%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$330 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢88¢at 11:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$549
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "No", with $330 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $330 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.