Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $1,304·Volume $6,636·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes16%No85%
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$589 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢85¢at 11:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$1,304
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $589 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $589 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $545 |
| 3w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $26 |