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Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $67.8K·Volume $242.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:21computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$17.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 04:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$67.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $17.1K riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $17.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:21
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo98¢$2,611
6d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidSellNo99¢$2,113
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo97¢$337
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo98¢$2,936
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo98¢$1,977
2w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo98¢$1,852
2w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo96¢$1,347
8w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo96¢$1,449
11w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo97¢$863
12w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo97¢$1,410
12w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo97¢$1,371
12w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo95¢$3,093