Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.8K·Volume $16.8K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,728 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$15.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,728 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,728 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $2,048 |
| 6d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $1,206 |
| 1w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $84 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $153 |
| 5w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $60 |
| 5w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 34¢ | $7 |