Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $2,906·Volume $18.1K·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,506 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢94¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$2,906
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,506 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,506 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $188 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $183 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $164 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $421 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $1,220 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $4,472 |