Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?
ActiveLiquidity $467·Volume $15.0K·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes60%No41%
Smart money leans
No
41% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$526 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered35¢41¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$467
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $526 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $526 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $74 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $34 |
| 4w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 48¢ | $18 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 48¢ | $85 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 48¢ | $9 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 48¢ | $67 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 50¢ | $50 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 47¢ | $29 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 29¢ | $231 |
| 8w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | No | 23¢ | $41 |