Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $29.0K·Volume $47.2K·Ends Jan 25, 2027
Price now:Yes28%No73%
Smart money leans
Yes
28% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
28%price28%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$819 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered14¢28¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 25, 2027)Liquidity$29.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $819 riding on it.
The price of 28% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 14¢; the price was 28¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $819 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $13 |
| 6d ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $38 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $57 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | No | 71¢ | $26 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $9 |