Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $7,148·Volume $198.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,161 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢96¢at 22:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$7,148
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,161 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,161 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $89 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $108 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $25 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $108 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $13 |
| 11w ago | SlenderManTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $696 |