Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,196·Volume $12.8K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No92%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
82%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$536 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered74¢92¢at 02:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$2,196
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $536 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $536 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $29 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $536 |