Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,100·Volume $7,040·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$291 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered77¢93¢at 06:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,100
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $291 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $291 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $291 |