Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $6,276·Volume $1,040·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,491
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 11:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$6,276
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,491 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | scoutMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2,157 |
| 1d ago | kinderSmanMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $166 |
| 1d ago | kinderSmanMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $166 |