Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $3,974·Volume $21.3K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$276 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢93¢at 06:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,974
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $276 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $276 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $100 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $91 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $86 |