Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $167.3K·Volume $799.9K·Ends Jun 15, 2027
Price now:Yes27%No74%
Smart money leans
Yes
27% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price27%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,504 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,298
Smart money entered29¢27¢at 07:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 216d(Jun 15, 2027)Liquidity$167.3K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,504 riding on it.
The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,298 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $356 |
| 2d ago | debasedMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $1,184 |
| 3d ago | Blaze1995Top | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1,022 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $2,694 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $81 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $77 |
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $235 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $1,710 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $53 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $497 |
| 3w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $196 |
| 4w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $17 |
| 4w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $77 |
| 5w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $181 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $200 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $70 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $25 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $88 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $607 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $1 |