Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
ActiveLiquidity $4,002·Volume $20.0K·Ends Mar 20, 2027
Price now:Yes80%No20%
Smart money leans
No
20% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
20%price20%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$707 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered26¢20¢at 06:53(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 130d(Mar 20, 2027)Liquidity$4,002
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $707 riding on it.
The price of 20% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 20¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $707 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.