Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
ActiveLiquidity $28.1K·Volume $21.9K·Ends Jun 19, 2027
Price now:Yes17%No84%
Smart money leans
No
84% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$862 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$26
72h +$1,697
Smart money entered84¢84¢at 07:31(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy14h agoResolvesin 221d(Jun 19, 2027)Liquidity$28.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $862 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $862 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$26, +$1,697 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $840 |
| 2d ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $840 |