Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
ActiveLiquidity $115·Volume $18.8K·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes77%No23%
Smart money leans
Yes
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$845 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢78¢at 11:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$115
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $845 riding on it.
The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $845 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $216 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $169 |
| 8w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $274 |
| 12w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $209 |