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Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $409·Volume $19.8K
Price now:Yes39%No61%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:43computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
60% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
60%price60%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$637 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢60¢at 11:43(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dLiquidity$409
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $637 riding on it.

The price of 60% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 60¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $637 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:43
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo59¢$60
8w agoAnjunMidBuyNo51¢$21
8w agoAnjunMidBuyNo51¢$149
9w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo61¢$8
9w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo61¢$20
9w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo61¢$77
9w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo61¢$12
9w agoAnjunMidSellYes35¢$43
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$13
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$13
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$7
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$13
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$60
9w agoBunCaChamMidSellNo67¢$220
9w agoAnjunMidBuyNo67¢$33
9w agoAnjunMidBuyYes33¢$111
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo61¢$65
10w agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyNo68¢$271
11w agoBunCaChamMidBuyNo81¢$270