Will PSOE win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $12.3K·Volume $1,322·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$344 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered80¢97¢at 07:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$12.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $344 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $344 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $344 |