Will PSOE win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $7,986·Volume $4,757·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes63%No38%
Smart money leans
Yes
63% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
63%price63%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$735 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered62¢63¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$7,986
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $735 riding on it.
The price of 63% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 63¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $735 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 40¢ | $95 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 20¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $44 |
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $816 |
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $6 |