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Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

ActiveLiquidity $2,693·Volume $8,401·Ends Jan 21, 2027
Price now:Yes75%No26%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:06computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
75% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
75%price75%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$280 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered82¢75¢at 07:06(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 71d(Jan 21, 2027)Liquidity$2,693
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $280 riding on it.

The price of 75% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 75¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $280 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10w agoSagandMidBuyYes80¢$252
11w agoSagandMidBuyYes90¢$50