Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $6,081·Volume $1,027·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$614 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 06:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$6,081
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $614 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $614 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.