Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $6,375·Volume $2,816·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes85%No15%
Smart money leans
Yes
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$352 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered70¢85¢at 06:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$6,375
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $352 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $352 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $366 |