Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $4,318·Volume $5,246·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes84%No16%
Smart money leans
Yes
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$984 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered79¢84¢at 07:07(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$4,318
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $984 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $984 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:07
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $984 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $312 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $264 |