Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $6,362·Volume $4,423·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes88%No12%
Smart money leans
Yes
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$866 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢88¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$6,362
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $866 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $866 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $866 |