Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $17.0K·Volume $10.1K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes94%No7%
Smart money leans
Yes
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,710 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$38
72h -$41
Smart money entered83¢94¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$17.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,710 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,710 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$38, -$41 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22