Will Portugal be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
ActiveLiquidity $387·Volume $286·Ends Apr 14, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$287 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered100¢99¢at 08:00(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 150d(Apr 14, 2027)Liquidity$387
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $287 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $287 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0xd5a8…9793Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | 0xd5a8…9793Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $269 |