Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,397·Volume $20.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$508 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered63¢98¢at 07:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,397
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $508 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 63¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $508 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 55¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $148 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $26 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $8 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $64 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $61 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $171 |