Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
ActiveLiquidity $6,661·Volume $197.6K·Ends Dec 19, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,166
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 11:31(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 37d(Dec 19, 2026)Liquidity$6,661
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,166 on this position.