Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $22.6K·Volume $8,393·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,200 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$18
Smart money entered83¢90¢at 07:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$22.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,200 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,200 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$18 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 3d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 4d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4,312 |