Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $1,224·Volume $3,147·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes74%No26%
Smart money leans
Yes
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$475 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered56¢74¢at 07:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$1,224
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $475 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $475 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $464 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $12 |