Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $789·Volume $3,408·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes44%No56%
Smart money leans
Yes
42% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
42%price42%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$425 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered36¢42¢at 07:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$789
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $425 riding on it.
The price of 42% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 36¢; the price was 42¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $425 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $116 |
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $134 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $61 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $21 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $33 |