Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
ActiveLiquidity $11.3K·Volume $9,625·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$295 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 07:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $295 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $295 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $112 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $48 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $136 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 10¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $37 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $45 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $59 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $11 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $721 |