Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $36.5K·Volume $18.0K·Ends Jul 24, 2028
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$963 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢95¢at 00:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4w agoResolvesin 621d(Jul 24, 2028)Liquidity$36.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $963 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $963 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $61 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 4w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $79 |
| 4w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $187 |
| 4w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $172 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $28 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $29 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $37 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $37 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $665 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $17 |
| 6w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $64 |