Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?
ActiveLiquidity $7,389·Volume $15.6K·Ends Dec 2, 2026
Price now:Yes42%No58%
Smart money leans
Yes
42% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
42%price42%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$459 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered46¢42¢at 00:29(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 21d(Dec 2, 2026)Liquidity$7,389
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $459 riding on it.
The price of 42% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 42¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $459 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $8 |
| 13h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $27 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $460 |
| 4w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $46 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $470 |
| 4w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |