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Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $32.9K·Volume $65.6K·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes29%No71%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
29% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
29%price29%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$281 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered42¢29¢at 11:46(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$32.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $281 riding on it.

The price of 29% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 29¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $281 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5d agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes37¢$90
6d agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes46¢$256
1w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes54¢$343
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes43¢$636
1w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes45¢$282
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo51¢$196
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes41¢$224
2w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes53¢$80
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes47¢$20
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes46¢$109
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes41¢$236
2w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes42¢$151
2w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes44¢$232
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes38¢$245
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes39¢$285
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo59¢$670
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes38¢$80
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo57¢$497
2w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes50¢$20
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes34¢$705
2w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes40¢$488
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$157
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo61¢$74
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo55¢$795
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$597
4w agoHolyMoses7MidSellYes36¢$63
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes33¢$351
4w agoHolyMoses7MidSellNo66¢$195
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo62¢$1,618
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes32¢$587
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo59¢$313
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes35¢$287
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes33¢$78
4w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes35¢$65
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo66¢$3
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes34¢$35
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes27¢$120
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo51¢$3
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo59¢$342
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo62¢$25
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$20
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$10
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$11
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$10
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo65¢$13
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo64¢$10
5w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo74¢$50