Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $6,253·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$253 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢99¢at 07:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $253 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $253 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $22 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,719 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $43 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $302 |