Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of November 9 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,390·Volume $11.3K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15.0K
72h +$15.0K
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$4,390
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15.0K, +$15.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $29 |
| 11h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $29 |
| 12h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $960 |
| 12h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $960 |
| 12h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $960 |
| 12h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $66 |
| 12h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $66 |
| 13h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $17 |
| 13h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $17 |
| 13h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $948 |
| 13h ago | 0xcbd0…dec4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,895 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,895 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,895 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $483 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $485 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $355 |
| 13h ago | 0x4025…88b6Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $355 |