Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $2,317·Volume $5,722·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes69%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
68% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
68%price68%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$744 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered59¢68¢at 07:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$2,317
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $744 riding on it.
The price of 68% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 68¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $744 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $30 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $37 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $714 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $59 |