Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $14.8K·Volume $7,479·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes83%No18%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:26Smart money exiting · $892 sold 24hcomputed 2h agoSmart money leans
Yes
84% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,097 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$216
72h -$216
Smart money entered75¢84¢at 07:26Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$14.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,097 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $1,097 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$216, -$216 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $442 |
| 10h ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $442 |
| 15h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $657 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $144 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $767 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $753 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $209 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $446 |