Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $18.3K·Volume $5,628·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes95%No6%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,429 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered74¢95¢at 07:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$18.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,429 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,429 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $810 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $546 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $82 |