Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $20.8K·Volume $6,626·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes94%No6%
Smart money leans
Yes
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,524 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢94¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$20.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,524 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,524 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $1,952 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $80 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $156 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $24 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $59 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $23 |
| 4w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $238 |