Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $7,283·Volume $3,690·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes82%No18%
Smart money leans
Yes
81% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
81%price81%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,091 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered69¢81¢at 07:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$7,283
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,091 riding on it.
The price of 81% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 81¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,091 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $38 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $1,009 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $46 |