Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $13.0K·Volume $7,190·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes78%No23%
Smart money leans
Yes
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$505 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$72
Smart money entered70¢78¢at 07:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$13.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $505 riding on it.
The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $505 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$72 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $73 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $25 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $405 |
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $79 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $63 |