Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $24.7K·Volume $6,192·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes92%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,614 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢92¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$24.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,614 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,614 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $1,632 |