Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $7,137·Volume $4,215·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes73%No27%
Smart money leans
Yes
72% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$394 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered73¢72¢at 07:37(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$7,137
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $394 riding on it.
The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $394 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $96 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $308 |