Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $5,897·Volume $4,598·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes39%No62%
Smart money leans
Yes
39% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
39%price39%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$388 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered35¢39¢at 07:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$5,897
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $388 riding on it.
The price of 39% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 39¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $388 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $71 |
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $195 |
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $59 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $111 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $65 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $11 |