Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $19.3K·Volume $6,237·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes91%No10%
Smart money leans
Yes
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,793 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered66¢90¢at 08:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$19.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,793 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,793 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $1,818 |